PV Mid- and Long-Term Power Prediction Method Based on SDCN-TiDE and Power Reconstruction

Mid- and long-term power prediction is critical for power planning, market optimization, and grid stability. However, existing short-term methods fail to capture long-term meteorological patterns, leading to reduced accuracy. This study addresses this limitation by using irradiance data to develop a robust power model and photovoltaic (PV) utilization curve for periodic feature extraction. A mid- and long-term PV power prediction model based on Structured Deep Clustering Network (SDCN) and Time-series Dense Encoder (TiDE) is proposed, incorporating power reconstruction to improve accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate its superior performance compared to traditional approaches traditional methods, validating its effectiveness.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-15
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/acpee64358.2025.11040328
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Power Systems and Renewable Energy
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.53

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PV Mid- and Long-Term Power Prediction Method Based on SDCN-TiDE and Power Reconstruction

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article

PV Mid- and Long-Term Power Prediction Method Based on SDCN-TiDE and Power Reconstruction

Ming Cheng, Xinyi Lai, Sa Zhu, Siyu Lu, Yihang Zhang, Changxiao Liu
article en
1 citations

Abstract

Mid- and long-term power prediction is critical for power planning, market optimization, and grid stability. However, existing short-term methods fail to capture long-term meteorological patterns, leading to reduced accuracy. This study addresses this limitation by using irradiance data to develop a robust power model and photovoltaic (PV) utilization curve for periodic feature extraction. A mid- and long-term PV power prediction model based on Structured Deep Clustering Network (SDCN) and Time-series Dense Encoder (TiDE) is proposed, incorporating power reconstruction to improve accuracy. Experimental results demonstrate its superior performance compared to traditional approaches traditional methods, validating its effectiveness.

Huazhong University of Science and Technology (CN), China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
China Southern Power Grid
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 30%
Power Systems and Renewable Energy
0.53
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