MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS AND LIQUIDITY: LONG AND SHORT RUN DYNAMIC EFFECTS ON THE TÜRKİYE STOCK EXCHANGE WITH THE ARDL APPROACH

Stock market liquidity is a key indicator of market functionality, stability and investor sentiment. Furthermore, stock market liquidity serves as a crucial indicator for gauging the depth of liquidity and market dynamics in money and capital markets. In light of the pivotal role of stock market liquidity, this article seeks to examine the dynamic influence of select macroeconomic indicators pertaining to monetary, fiscal, and general economic outlook on stock market liquidity in both the long and short run. To this end, the symmetric ARDL method is employed. The ARDL findings indicate that interest rate, exchange rate, central government expenditures, oil, industrial production index, and consumer price index exert a discernible impact on stock market liquidity.

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Publication Details

Journal
Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
Published
2025-06-27
DOI
https://doi.org/10.36543/kauiibfd.2025.018
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
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article

MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS AND LIQUIDITY: LONG AND SHORT RUN DYNAMIC EFFECTS ON THE TÜRKİYE STOCK EXCHANGE WITH THE ARDL APPROACH

Tuncer YILMAZ, Alirıza AĞ
Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
article

MACROECONOMIC INDICATORS AND LIQUIDITY: LONG AND SHORT RUN DYNAMIC EFFECTS ON THE TÜRKİYE STOCK EXCHANGE WITH THE ARDL APPROACH

Tuncer YILMAZ, Alirıza AĞ
article en

Abstract

Stock market liquidity is a key indicator of market functionality, stability and investor sentiment. Furthermore, stock market liquidity serves as a crucial indicator for gauging the depth of liquidity and market dynamics in money and capital markets. In light of the pivotal role of stock market liquidity, this article seeks to examine the dynamic influence of select macroeconomic indicators pertaining to monetary, fiscal, and general economic outlook on stock market liquidity in both the long and short run. To this end, the symmetric ARDL method is employed. The ARDL findings indicate that interest rate, exchange rate, central government expenditures, oil, industrial production index, and consumer price index exert a discernible impact on stock market liquidity.

Kafkas Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi DergisiVol. 16(31)
Kafkas University (TR), Bayburt University (TR)
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
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