Cognitive Biases as an A Priori Property of the Individual Subject’s Consciousness: The Case of the Monte Carlo Fallacy

This article examines cognitive biases (using the example of the Monte Carlo fallacy) as a priori in relation to the being of the individual subject. Placing the subject in a situation of multiple repetitions of experience with fully open results and unchanged input data does not lead to a change in the subject’s perception of the probabilities of the outcome of each individual iteration within this experience. The article concludes that it is impossible for the individual subject to overcome cognitive bias through empirical methods, thus affirming the a priori influence of cognitive bias on the consciousness of the individual subject.