<b>Integrating Traditional Statistical Methods</b> <b>and Machine Learning for Enhanced</b> <b>Precipitation Forecasting</b>

This study investigates the key meteorological factors influencing precipitation by integrating traditional statistical methods with advanced machine learning techniques. Five critical variables - sunshine, cloud cover, global radiation, barometric pressure and snow depth - were selected for analysis. The results show an inverse relationship between sunshine hours and precipitation, indicating that reduced sunshine correlates with an increased likelihood of precipitation. In addition, higher cloud cover significantly increases the probability of precipitation, while low air pressure is closely associated with greater precipitation activity. Although global radiation shows a weak positive correlation, its effect is overshadowed by other variables and snow depth has no significant effect overall. Despite the relatively low explanatory power of the model (R² = 0.148), this research highlights the complexity of precipitation dynamics. The results provide valuable insights for improving precipitation forecasting, particularly in urban environments such as London, and highlight the need for future studies to include additional variables such as topography and wind speed to improve prediction accuracy. By combining statistical and machine learning approaches, this study contributes to the ongoing discourse on effective precipitation forecasting in the face of evolving climate challenges.

Authors

Publication Details

Journal
Science and Technology of Engineering Chemistry and Environmental Protection
Published
2025-06-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.61173/besdw833
Primary Topic
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
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article

Integrating Traditional Statistical Methods and Machine Learning for Enhanced Precipitation Forecasting

Pinjie Lyu
Science and Technology of Engineering Chemistry and Environmental Protection
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
article

Integrating Traditional Statistical Methods and Machine Learning for Enhanced Precipitation Forecasting

Pinjie Lyu
article en

Abstract

This study investigates the key meteorological factors influencing precipitation by integrating traditional statistical methods with advanced machine learning techniques. Five critical variables - sunshine, cloud cover, global radiation, barometric pressure and snow depth - were selected for analysis. The results show an inverse relationship between sunshine hours and precipitation, indicating that reduced sunshine correlates with an increased likelihood of precipitation. In addition, higher cloud cover significantly increases the probability of precipitation, while low air pressure is closely associated with greater precipitation activity. Although global radiation shows a weak positive correlation, its effect is overshadowed by other variables and snow depth has no significant effect overall. Despite the relatively low explanatory power of the model (R² = 0.148), this research highlights the complexity of precipitation dynamics. The results provide valuable insights for improving precipitation forecasting, particularly in urban environments such as London, and highlight the need for future studies to include additional variables such as topography and wind speed to improve prediction accuracy. By combining statistical and machine learning approaches, this study contributes to the ongoing discourse on effective precipitation forecasting in the face of evolving climate challenges.

Science and Technology of Engineering Chemistry and Environmental ProtectionVol. 1(3)
Openalex Percentile: Top 81%
Meteorological Phenomena and Simulations
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<b>Integrating Traditional Statistical Methods</b> <b>and Machine Learning for Enhanced</b> <b>Precipitation Forecasting</b> — Pinjie Lyu · Science and Technology of Engineering Chemistry and Environmental Protection (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS