The incidence, prevalence, and health burden of forearm fractures in China from 1992 to 2021 and forecasts for 2036
In 2021, an estimated 5,790,636 radius and/or ulna fractures occurred in China. Prevalence and disability rates were higher among women than among men. After a decline between 2001 and 2005, the incidence, prevalence, and disability burden of these fractures rose sharply from 2011 to 2021. Projections indicate that incidence in men will fall slightly after 2030, whereas it will continue to rise in women. These findings provide critical evidence for shaping public-health policy, designing fracture-prevention programmes, and allocating healthcare resources in China.
Authors
- Yuan Zeng (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3270-2459)
- Michael Z. Hu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8461-9684)
- Chenxiao Zheng
- Feifan Luan
- Zhiming Zhang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4193-3689)
- J. Chen (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1586-5253)
- Zhangjian Wu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1145-1205)
Institutions
- Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine (CN)
- Zhongshan Hospital (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Frontiers in Public Health
- Published
- 2025-06-24
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2025.1566421
- Citations
- 1
- Primary Topic
- Bone fractures and treatments
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.35
Funders
- Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation
- Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine
- Guangzhou University
- Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation of Guangdong Province