Machine Learning Traffic Flow Prediction Models for Smart and Sustainable Traffic Management

Sustainable traffic management relies on accurate traffic flow prediction to reduce congestion, fuel consumption, and emissions and minimise the external environmental impacts of traffic operations. This study contributes to this objective by developing and evaluating advanced machine learning models that leverage multisource data to predict traffic patterns more effectively, allowing for the deployment of proactive measures to prevent or reduce traffic congestion and idling times, leading to enhanced eco-friendly mobility. Specifically, this paper evaluates the impact of multisource sensor inputs and spatial detector interactions on machine learning-based traffic flow prediction. Using a dataset of 839,377 observations from 14 detector stations along Melbourne’s Eastern Freeway, Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) models were developed to assess predictive accuracy under different input configurations. The results demonstrated that incorporating speed and occupancy inputs alongside traffic flow improves prediction accuracy by up to 16% across all detector stations. This study also investigated the role of spatial flow input interactions from upstream and downstream detectors in enhancing prediction performance. The findings confirm that including neighbouring detectors improves prediction accuracy, increasing performance from 96% to 98% for eastbound and westbound directions. These findings highlight the benefits of optimised sensor deployment, data integration, and advanced machine-learning techniques for smart and eco-friendly traffic systems. Additionally, this study provides a foundation for data-driven, adaptive traffic management strategies that contribute to sustainable road network planning, reducing vehicle idling, fuel consumption, and emissions while enhancing urban mobility and supporting sustainability goals. Furthermore, the proposed framework aligns with key United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly those promoting sustainable cities, resilient infrastructure, and climate-responsive planning.