Gamma-superstatistics and complex time series analysis

We have explored and analyzed the outcome data from several simulated superstatistical time series including an E^{μ-1} density of states. Among the three main classes of superstatistics (SS), we have chosen the one that imposes a gamma distribution g(β) for the fluctuating intensive parameter β. In our analysis, we have generated a set of synthetic time series through a simple algorithm, which provided us different dynamical scenarios by setting some relevant superstatistical parameters. In each emerging scenario, multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) was applied to evaluate the corresponding singularity spectrum width Δα. With this information we have characterized the complexity' degree of each superstatistical time series. The results show that the complexity is strongly dependent on the shape parameter ν of g(β) and that, in any of these cases, the parameter μ associated with the density of states smoothly increases said complexity. A multiple regression model shows that although μ and ν do not interact significantly, they do act complementary to describe the system's complexity as measured by Δα. This analysis confirms that the simulated data could represent the behavior of some complex systems whose complexity can be effectively described by the regression model through μ and ν. This conclusion is further supported by the assessment of eight SYM-H magnitude datasets, taken during periods of maximum and minimum solar activity, where predicted Δα values are reasonably close to the corresponding values obtained through the MFDFA.

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Publication Details

Journal
Physical review. E
Published
2025-06-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1103/3kcd-3mlq
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13
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article

Gamma-superstatistics and complex time series analysis

Karl J. Friston
1 citations
Physical review. E
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
3.13
article

Gamma-superstatistics and complex time series analysis

Karl J. Friston
article en
1 citations

Abstract

We have explored and analyzed the outcome data from several simulated superstatistical time series including an E^{μ-1} density of states. Among the three main classes of superstatistics (SS), we have chosen the one that imposes a gamma distribution g(β) for the fluctuating intensive parameter β. In our analysis, we have generated a set of synthetic time series through a simple algorithm, which provided us different dynamical scenarios by setting some relevant superstatistical parameters. In each emerging scenario, multifractal detrended fluctuation analysis (MFDFA) was applied to evaluate the corresponding singularity spectrum width Δα. With this information we have characterized the complexity' degree of each superstatistical time series. The results show that the complexity is strongly dependent on the shape parameter ν of g(β) and that, in any of these cases, the parameter μ associated with the density of states smoothly increases said complexity. A multiple regression model shows that although μ and ν do not interact significantly, they do act complementary to describe the system's complexity as measured by Δα. This analysis confirms that the simulated data could represent the behavior of some complex systems whose complexity can be effectively described by the regression model through μ and ν. This conclusion is further supported by the assessment of eight SYM-H magnitude datasets, taken during periods of maximum and minimum solar activity, where predicted Δα values are reasonably close to the corresponding values obtained through the MFDFA.

Physical review. EVol. 112(1)
University of La Serena (CL)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Complex Systems and Time Series Analysis
3.13
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