Mathematical modelling of child mortality with Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative
In this article, we proposed a fractional-order mathematical model of Child mortality. We analyzed the existence of a unique solution for our model using the fixed point theory and Picard–Lindelöf technique. We propose a Caputo operator for modeling child mortality in a given population of 1000 susceptible under five children. Our stability analysis was based on the fixed point theory, which was used to prove that our Picard iteration was stable. Using the Julia software and some real world values for our parameters, we numerically simulated the system through graphs. Our findings were that, reducing child mortality rates alone is insufficient to significantly improve survival rates for children under five. To make a real impact, a holistic approach is necessary, including access to healthcare, proper nutrition, vaccination programs, hygiene practices, clean water sources and comprehensive public health campaigns can greatly enhance the survival rates of children under five.
Authors
- Marcial Nguemfouo (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0007-2885-9326)
- Patience Pokuaa Gambrah (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2075-4534)
- Gratien Twagirumukiza (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3310-2754)
- Herman Matondo Mananga
- Louis Ndinyun Tawam
- Gallimard Nzinga Milongo
Publication Details
- Journal
- Open Journal of Mathematical Sciences
- Published
- 2025-06-24
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.30538/oms2025.0254
- Primary Topic
- Fractional Differential Equations Solutions
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00