Mathematical modelling of child mortality with Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative

In this article, we proposed a fractional-order mathematical model of Child mortality. We analyzed the existence of a unique solution for our model using the fixed point theory and Picard–Lindelöf technique. We propose a Caputo operator for modeling child mortality in a given population of 1000 susceptible under five children. Our stability analysis was based on the fixed point theory, which was used to prove that our Picard iteration was stable. Using the Julia software and some real world values for our parameters, we numerically simulated the system through graphs. Our findings were that, reducing child mortality rates alone is insufficient to significantly improve survival rates for children under five. To make a real impact, a holistic approach is necessary, including access to healthcare, proper nutrition, vaccination programs, hygiene practices, clean water sources and comprehensive public health campaigns can greatly enhance the survival rates of children under five.

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Publication Details

Journal
Open Journal of Mathematical Sciences
Published
2025-06-24
DOI
https://doi.org/10.30538/oms2025.0254
Primary Topic
Fractional Differential Equations Solutions
Type
article
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article

Mathematical modelling of child mortality with Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative

Marcial Nguemfouo, Patience Pokuaa Gambrah, Gratien Twagirumukiza, Herman Matondo Mananga et al.
Open Journal of Mathematical Sciences
Fractional Differential Equations Solutions
article

Mathematical modelling of child mortality with Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative

Marcial Nguemfouo, Patience Pokuaa Gambrah, Gratien Twagirumukiza, Herman Matondo Mananga, Louis Ndinyun Tawam, Gallimard Nzinga Milongo
article en

Abstract

In this article, we proposed a fractional-order mathematical model of Child mortality. We analyzed the existence of a unique solution for our model using the fixed point theory and Picard–Lindelöf technique. We propose a Caputo operator for modeling child mortality in a given population of 1000 susceptible under five children. Our stability analysis was based on the fixed point theory, which was used to prove that our Picard iteration was stable. Using the Julia software and some real world values for our parameters, we numerically simulated the system through graphs. Our findings were that, reducing child mortality rates alone is insufficient to significantly improve survival rates for children under five. To make a real impact, a holistic approach is necessary, including access to healthcare, proper nutrition, vaccination programs, hygiene practices, clean water sources and comprehensive public health campaigns can greatly enhance the survival rates of children under five.

Open Journal of Mathematical SciencesVol. 9
Openalex Percentile: Top 83%
Fractional Differential Equations Solutions
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Mathematical modelling of child mortality with Caputo–Fabrizio fractional derivative — Marcial Nguemfouo, Patience Pokuaa Gambrah, et al. · Open Journal of Mathematical Sciences (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS