Evaluation of Power Grid Investment Capacity Using GRU Neural Network to Promote Sustainable Asset Growth

This study introduces a novel power grid investment capacity evaluation model called the Dual-Skip Improved GRU Network (DS-IGRU), which is based on the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). The primary objective is to enhance the precision of power grid investment forecasts. The DS-IGRU model leverages the memory capabilities of GRU, integrated with Skip layers and an autoregressive component, to effectively process both periodic and non-periodic data. The model’ s effectiveness has been confirmed through comparisons with various traditional and contemporary forecasting techniques. The experimental outcomes demonstrate that the DS-IGRU model achieves superior prediction accuracy, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.91E-5, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0023, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.933%. In contrast, the DS-IGRU model without the autoregressive module exhibits reduced prediction accuracy, highlighting the significant contribution of the autoregressive layer to the model’s forecasting capabilities. This study offers a fresh perspective on power grid investment forecasting and provides more accurate references for investment decision-making in the electricity sector.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/iseae64934.2025.11041705
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Evaluation of Power Grid Investment Capacity Using GRU Neural Network to Promote Sustainable Asset Growth

Zhengyuan Li, Bo Shao, Ying Gao, Qianrong Ye et al.
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Evaluation of Power Grid Investment Capacity Using GRU Neural Network to Promote Sustainable Asset Growth

Zhengyuan Li, Bo Shao, Ying Gao, Qianrong Ye, Yuanfeng Zhang, Wanying Zhang
article en

Abstract

This study introduces a novel power grid investment capacity evaluation model called the Dual-Skip Improved GRU Network (DS-IGRU), which is based on the Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU). The primary objective is to enhance the precision of power grid investment forecasts. The DS-IGRU model leverages the memory capabilities of GRU, integrated with Skip layers and an autoregressive component, to effectively process both periodic and non-periodic data. The model’ s effectiveness has been confirmed through comparisons with various traditional and contemporary forecasting techniques. The experimental outcomes demonstrate that the DS-IGRU model achieves superior prediction accuracy, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 1.91E-5, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 0.0023, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 0.933%. In contrast, the DS-IGRU model without the autoregressive module exhibits reduced prediction accuracy, highlighting the significant contribution of the autoregressive layer to the model’s forecasting capabilities. This study offers a fresh perspective on power grid investment forecasting and provides more accurate references for investment decision-making in the electricity sector.

China Power Engineering Consulting Group (China) (CN), China Southern Power Grid (China) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Evaluation of Power Grid Investment Capacity Using GRU Neural Network to Promote Sustainable Asset Growth — Zhengyuan Li, Bo Shao, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS