Climate change in the Pannonian Basin: Past trends and future outlook using Copernicus data

This paper analyzes climate change trends in the Pannonian Basin using Euro-CORDEX regional climate models and data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service. The analysis, based on the RCP4.5 scenario, highlights a significant warming trend over the 21st century, with a projected temperature rise of up to 2 °C by 2100. Results show a marked reduction in the number of frost days and increased winter precipitation, which may affect agriculture, ecosystems, and hydrology. Conversely, summers are expected to become drier, raising the risk of droughts and heatwaves. These climatic shifts have serious implications for water resources, food production, and regional planning. The study underscores the need for integrated adaptation strategies and informed decision-making to mitigate adverse impacts. The use of the Copernicus Interactive Atlas and AI tools enables accessible and robust analysis of climate indicators crucial for local and regional stakeholders.

Authors

Publication Details

Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5937/pim25049g
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Plant Ecology and Soil Science
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.72
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article

Climate change in the Pannonian Basin: Past trends and future outlook using Copernicus data

Ivan Güttler
1 citations
Plant Ecology and Soil Science
1.72
article

Climate change in the Pannonian Basin: Past trends and future outlook using Copernicus data

Ivan Güttler
article en
1 citations

Abstract

This paper analyzes climate change trends in the Pannonian Basin using Euro-CORDEX regional climate models and data from the Copernicus Climate Change Service. The analysis, based on the RCP4.5 scenario, highlights a significant warming trend over the 21st century, with a projected temperature rise of up to 2 °C by 2100. Results show a marked reduction in the number of frost days and increased winter precipitation, which may affect agriculture, ecosystems, and hydrology. Conversely, summers are expected to become drier, raising the risk of droughts and heatwaves. These climatic shifts have serious implications for water resources, food production, and regional planning. The study underscores the need for integrated adaptation strategies and informed decision-making to mitigate adverse impacts. The use of the Copernicus Interactive Atlas and AI tools enables accessible and robust analysis of climate indicators crucial for local and regional stakeholders.

Openalex Percentile: Top 16%
Plant Ecology and Soil Science
1.72
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