Analysis of the Driving Factors for Land Subsidence in the Northern Anhui Plain: A Case Study of Bozhou City

In recent years, land subsidence in the Northern Anhui Plain has become increasingly pronounced, posing serious risks to infrastructure and groundwater management. However, quantitative assessments of its driving mechanisms remain limited. This study focuses on Bozhou, a typical resource-based city, and employs 186 Sentinel-1 SAR images and SBAS-based interferometric analysis to retrieve the spatiotemporal evolution of land subsidence from 2022 to 2024. Results show that the peak subsidence rate reaches 102 mm/year and has its major distribution in the central and eastern sectors of Bozhou. Temporally, the subsidence pattern shows an initial intensification followed by gradual stabilization. Furthermore, a GeoDetector-based analysis indicates that excessive groundwater extraction and coal mining are the dominant factors, with significant interactive enhancement effects. These findings provide crucial insights for the prevention and mitigation of land subsidence in resource-based cities.