Global development patterns: A clustering analysis of economic, social and environmental indicators

Understanding how countries differ in their environmental and social characteristics is critical for designing effective and targeted sustainability policies. This study aims to explore heterogeneity among countries using a data-driven approach that considers multiple indicators relevant to environmental, social and economic development. We apply K-means clustering and principal component analysis (PCA) to a dataset covering 206 countries and including variables such as CO₂ emissions, access to electricity, life expectancy, education expenditure, inflation, GDP, unemployment and democracy levels. The analysis identifies eight distinct clusters of countries that broadly reflect global disparities in socio-economic and environmental conditions, with clear regional and income-based patterns. Notably, high-income democracies form distinct groups with strong social indicators, while clusters of Sub-Saharan African countries tend to exhibit low access to electricity and education spending. These findings underscore the need for differentiated policy strategies that align with each cluster’s characteristics. Our results contribute to the growing literature on multidimensional sustainability assessment and offer a useful typology for international environmental cooperation and policy targeting.

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Publication Details

Journal
Sustainable Futures
Published
2025-06-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sftr.2025.100907
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
6.26

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article

Global development patterns: A clustering analysis of economic, social and environmental indicators

Jorge Caiado, Carolina Saraiva
2 citations
Sustainable Futures
Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
6.26
article

Global development patterns: A clustering analysis of economic, social and environmental indicators

Jorge Caiado, Carolina Saraiva
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Understanding how countries differ in their environmental and social characteristics is critical for designing effective and targeted sustainability policies. This study aims to explore heterogeneity among countries using a data-driven approach that considers multiple indicators relevant to environmental, social and economic development. We apply K-means clustering and principal component analysis (PCA) to a dataset covering 206 countries and including variables such as CO₂ emissions, access to electricity, life expectancy, education expenditure, inflation, GDP, unemployment and democracy levels. The analysis identifies eight distinct clusters of countries that broadly reflect global disparities in socio-economic and environmental conditions, with clear regional and income-based patterns. Notably, high-income democracies form distinct groups with strong social indicators, while clusters of Sub-Saharan African countries tend to exhibit low access to electricity and education spending. These findings underscore the need for differentiated policy strategies that align with each cluster’s characteristics. Our results contribute to the growing literature on multidimensional sustainability assessment and offer a useful typology for international environmental cooperation and policy targeting.

Sustainable FuturesVol. 10
University of Lisbon (PT)
Ministério da Ciência, Tecnologia e Ensino Superior, Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Openalex Percentile: Top 4%
Energy, Environment, Economic Growth
6.26
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