KEY DETERMINANTS OF THE CONFLICT-GENERATING MODEL OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION’S FOREIGN POLICY

This article presents a comprehensive analysis of the conflict-generating model of the Russian Federation’s foreign policy, shaped by its historical experience, political culture, and strategic thinking. The primary goal of Russia’s foreign policy is the restoration of its great power status, which is viewed as a key element of its national identity. Russia seeks to assert itself as one of the poles in a multipolar world, on par with the United States and China. The article also explores Russia’s strategic culture, which is deeply rooted in historical memory. Russia traditionally perceives security as attainable only through expansion and the establishment of “strategic depth” – a concept that entails maintaining control over nearby states to prevent external threats. The analysis further examines the influence of Russia’s autocratic system of governance, which has historically concentrated power in the hands of a single leader or a narrow elite. This centralization increases the risks of subjectivity and unpredictability in foreign policy decision-making. At the same time, foreign policy often serves as a tool for legitimizing internal order and consolidating the authoritarian regime. Finally, the article investigates how the Russian elite employs historical myths and collective traumas to shape a national identity that justifies expansionist policies. The sense of exceptionalism and global mission – reinforced by religious, cultural, and political narratives – drives Russia to act assertively in the international arena, even when such actions provoke conflicts with other states.