A Social–Technical–Ecological Systems Analysis of Sustainable Development Paths for Marine Ranching in Guangdong Province, China

Marine ranching, an emerging paradigm in sustainable fisheries, integrates technological, social, and ecological dimensions through a social–technical–ecological systems (STESs) framework to enhance ecosystem resilience and resource governance. This study proposes a comprehensive STESs-based framework and applies it to 15 demonstration sites in Guangdong Province, China, to explore the dynamic interplay among technological innovation, stakeholder engagement, fisheries governance, ecosystem health, biodiversity, and community participation. Through regression analyses and descriptive statistics, we quantified these multi-layered interactions. The study’s findings reveal significant correlations that underscore the importance of integrated approaches to marine ranching sustainability. Notably, stakeholder engagement is strongly linked to technological adoption (r = 0.58), suggesting that inclusive decision-making processes can drive the uptake of innovative, sustainable technologies. Furthermore, technological adoption is positively correlated with ecosystem health (r = 0.62), highlighting the potential for sustainable technologies to enhance marine ecosystem well-being. Community participation emerges as a critical factor in biodiversity conservation (r = 0.71), emphasizing the value of collaborative conservation efforts. Additionally, the strong predictive relationship between marine biodiversity and water quality (β = 0.85, p = 0.001) underscores the importance of preserving biodiversity for maintaining good water quality, which is fundamental to the health and sustainability of marine ranching systems. These insights collectively support the development of holistic management strategies that integrate social, technological, and ecological dimensions to promote the resilience and sustainability of marine ranching. These results underscore the crucial roles of participatory governance, sustainable fishery practices, and biodiversity protection in strengthening the ecological resilience of marine ranching systems.