Simulation and visualisation for a wind power prediction model based on structural attention LSTM and environmental correction

With the increasing share of renewable energy, its volatility poses challenges to grid dispatching, making wind power prediction crucial. Existing methods mainly include point forecasting and probabilistic forecasting, but the former struggles to capture fluctuations, while the latter lacks reasonable scenario generation for grid integration. Additionally, current approaches fail to fully utilise wind farm spatial structures and environmental factors, limiting prediction accuracy and generalisation. To address this, this paper proposes a scenario generation model (SLEP) based on structural attention LSTM and environmental correction. SLEP integrates temporal wind power characteristics, turbine spatial structures, and environmental factors, built upon TimeGAN. SA-LSTM combines a graph convolutional network (GCN) with LSTM to capture spatiotemporal wind power features, while the environmental correction module (ERM) employs cross-attention to embed environmental variables, improving sample adaptability. Experiments show that SLEP outperforms existing methods in accuracy, scenario diversity, and environmental adaptability, providing reliable support for grid dispatching.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Journal of Information and Communication Technology
Published
2025-01-01
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1504/ijict.2025.146808
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Simulation and visualisation for a wind power prediction model based on structural attention LSTM and environmental correction

Yuan Chen
International Journal of Information and Communication Technology
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Simulation and visualisation for a wind power prediction model based on structural attention LSTM and environmental correction

Yuan Chen
article en

Abstract

With the increasing share of renewable energy, its volatility poses challenges to grid dispatching, making wind power prediction crucial. Existing methods mainly include point forecasting and probabilistic forecasting, but the former struggles to capture fluctuations, while the latter lacks reasonable scenario generation for grid integration. Additionally, current approaches fail to fully utilise wind farm spatial structures and environmental factors, limiting prediction accuracy and generalisation. To address this, this paper proposes a scenario generation model (SLEP) based on structural attention LSTM and environmental correction. SLEP integrates temporal wind power characteristics, turbine spatial structures, and environmental factors, built upon TimeGAN. SA-LSTM combines a graph convolutional network (GCN) with LSTM to capture spatiotemporal wind power features, while the environmental correction module (ERM) employs cross-attention to embed environmental variables, improving sample adaptability. Experiments show that SLEP outperforms existing methods in accuracy, scenario diversity, and environmental adaptability, providing reliable support for grid dispatching.

International Journal of Information and Communication TechnologyVol. 26(20)
China Three Gorges University (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Simulation and visualisation for a wind power prediction model based on structural attention LSTM and environmental correction — Yuan Chen · International Journal of Information and Communication Technology (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS