Applying the Extended Kalman Filter and Unscented Kalman Filter to Power System Forecasting-Aided State Estimation

Abstract: This paper represents the power system forecasting-aided state estimation (FASE) using the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF). First, the concepts and mathematical formulations of power system state estimation (SE) are studied. Two types of power system state estimation, dynamic state estimation (DSE), and FASE are examined. Second, the principles and the essentials of the EKF and the UKF are described. Finally, the EKF and UKF are applied to the FASE of a five-bus power system. The research results and computer simulations lead to two key findings. First, we conclude that some pioneering works on DSE should be more appropriately re-classified as FASE. Second, we observe that the performance of the UKF does not always outperform that of the EKF. These two findings differ slightly from previous pioneering works and represent the key contributions of this paper.Cite this article as: Y.-J.Lin and H.-Y. Lin, "Applying the extended Kalman filter and unscented Kalman filter to power system forecasting-aided state estimation," Turk J Electr Power Energy Syst., 2025; 5(2), 96-104.

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Publication Details

Journal
Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems
Published
2025-06-19
DOI
https://doi.org/10.5152/tepes.2025.25011
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
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article

Applying the Extended Kalman Filter and Unscented Kalman Filter to Power System Forecasting-Aided State Estimation

Hongyi Lin, Yu-Jen Lin
213 links
Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
article

Applying the Extended Kalman Filter and Unscented Kalman Filter to Power System Forecasting-Aided State Estimation

Hongyi Lin, Yu-Jen Lin
article en

Abstract

Abstract: This paper represents the power system forecasting-aided state estimation (FASE) using the extended Kalman filter (EKF) and unscented Kalman filter (UKF). First, the concepts and mathematical formulations of power system state estimation (SE) are studied. Two types of power system state estimation, dynamic state estimation (DSE), and FASE are examined. Second, the principles and the essentials of the EKF and the UKF are described. Finally, the EKF and UKF are applied to the FASE of a five-bus power system. The research results and computer simulations lead to two key findings. First, we conclude that some pioneering works on DSE should be more appropriately re-classified as FASE. Second, we observe that the performance of the UKF does not always outperform that of the EKF. These two findings differ slightly from previous pioneering works and represent the key contributions of this paper.Cite this article as: Y.-J.Lin and H.-Y. Lin, "Applying the extended Kalman filter and unscented Kalman filter to power system forecasting-aided state estimation," Turk J Electr Power Energy Syst., 2025; 5(2), 96-104.

Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy SystemsVol. 5(2)
I-Shou University (TW)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
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Applying the Extended Kalman Filter and Unscented Kalman Filter to Power System Forecasting-Aided State Estimation — Hongyi Lin, Yu-Jen Lin · Turkish Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS