Spatial convergence of population ageing in Poland’s provinces in a retrospective and prospective analysis

Poland’s central statistical office, Statistics Poland, forecasts that the populations of most Polish provinces will decline by 2060, as will the share of young people, while the share of old-age population will increase. The population structure across Poland’s provinces is visibly disproportionate, and population ageing has two different dimensions: it is both a top-down and a bottom-up process. Aim. This study was designed to assess the advancement rate and diversity of population ageing in Poland’s provinces in the past – and in the future (up to 2040). This study used data on the share of five age groups in the overall population, referring to both the past (2002–2022) and the future (by 2040). To determine the convergence of population ageing...