From Global to Local: Testing the UNEP Environmental Vulnerability Index in a Coastal Korea Context

As climate change intensifies, assessing vulnerability at territorial levels such as cities, countries, and regions is essential for effective adaptation planning. This study evaluates the applicability of the United Nations Environment Programme and South Pacific Applied Geoscience Commission’s Environmental Vulnerability Index (EVI) for coastal regions in South Korea. By adapting and localizing 50 international indicators and a Geographic Information System framework, this research developed a Korean Coastal Vulnerability Index and used spatial regression analysis to compare results to historical water-related disaster data from 2010 to 2019. The findings reveal that contrary to South Korea’s global classification of “extremely vulnerable”, most coastal counties appear relatively resilient when viewed through the localized model. Sub-index analyses indicate that ecological and anthropogenic damage factors show the strongest correlation with past disasters among the hazard, resistance, and damage categories. While the model’s explanatory power was modest (R2 = 0.017), the regression nonetheless provides meaningful insight into how global indices can reflect local vulnerability patterns. The regression results confirm that based on historical hazard records, the international model effectively predicts Korean coastal vulnerability. It demonstrates the potential of scaling down global models to fit national contexts, offering a replicable approach for countries lacking localized vulnerability frameworks. It advances climate adaptation research through methodological innovation, policy-relevant spatial analysis, and theoretical insights into the multidimensional nature of vulnerability. The results support more precise, data-driven resilience planning and promote international collaboration in climate risk management.