Empirical ecology to support mechanistic modelling: Different objectives, better approaches and unique benefits

Abstract Modern ecological management problems are characterized by large scales, rapid environmental change, multiple stressors and conflicts between local and global conservation objectives. These problems are too complex to address with field studies alone, and statistical models that assume past system behaviours can predict future responses are risky when systems are changing rapidly. Mechanistic simulation models, though, can avoid that assumption while accommodating important natural complexities. Making mechanistic models credible requires empirical studies, but traditional study topics and designs often do not support them well. The models we use for modern problems need empirical studies that provide understanding of life history and autecology of study species, identify general patterns useful for model design and evaluation, collect data of kinds that models show are important and develop submodels and theory for individual‐level mechanisms. Ecologists can better produce such knowledge via research that: (a) is interdisciplinary and across‐level, often designed to understand just enough about individuals to support individual‐based models of populations and communities; (b) is designed to quantify relationships across broad ranges, instead of testing statistical hypotheses; (c) emphasizes relevance and realism over precision; and (d) includes stressful conditions relevant to modern management challenges. Supporting complex management models is rewarding to research ecologists: Modelling identifies crucial yet understudied research topics; models can be used as virtual ecosystems for experiments (including tests of theory) that would be impossible in reality; and supporting models ensures that our work has high impact and contributes to critical issues.

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Publication Details

Journal
Methods in Ecology and Evolution
Published
2025-06-18
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1111/2041-210x.70083
Citations
6
Primary Topic
Species Distribution and Climate Change
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
11.03
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article

Empirical ecology to support mechanistic modelling: Different objectives, better approaches and unique benefits

Matthew A. McCary, Volker Grimm, Steven F. Railsback, Cara A. Gallagher et al.
6 citations
Methods in Ecology and Evolution
Species Distribution and Climate Change
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article

Empirical ecology to support mechanistic modelling: Different objectives, better approaches and unique benefits

Matthew A. McCary, Volker Grimm, Steven F. Railsback, Cara A. Gallagher, Bret C. Harvey
article en
6 citations

Abstract

Abstract Modern ecological management problems are characterized by large scales, rapid environmental change, multiple stressors and conflicts between local and global conservation objectives. These problems are too complex to address with field studies alone, and statistical models that assume past system behaviours can predict future responses are risky when systems are changing rapidly. Mechanistic simulation models, though, can avoid that assumption while accommodating important natural complexities. Making mechanistic models credible requires empirical studies, but traditional study topics and designs often do not support them well. The models we use for modern problems need empirical studies that provide understanding of life history and autecology of study species, identify general patterns useful for model design and evaluation, collect data of kinds that models show are important and develop submodels and theory for individual‐level mechanisms. Ecologists can better produce such knowledge via research that: (a) is interdisciplinary and across‐level, often designed to understand just enough about individuals to support individual‐based models of populations and communities; (b) is designed to quantify relationships across broad ranges, instead of testing statistical hypotheses; (c) emphasizes relevance and realism over precision; and (d) includes stressful conditions relevant to modern management challenges. Supporting complex management models is rewarding to research ecologists: Modelling identifies crucial yet understudied research topics; models can be used as virtual ecosystems for experiments (including tests of theory) that would be impossible in reality; and supporting models ensures that our work has high impact and contributes to critical issues.

Methods in Ecology and EvolutionVol. 16(8)
US Forest Service (US), Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (DE), University of Potsdam (DE), Aarhus University (DK), Pacific Southwest Research Station (US), Rice University (US)
Life in Land
Openalex Percentile: Top 2%
Species Distribution and Climate Change
11.03
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