Survival Estimates of Endangered Shortnose Sturgeon (Acipenser brevirostrum Lesueur, 1818) from Geographically Disjunct Population Segments

The complex life history and stock structure of endangered shortnose sturgeon (Acipenser brevirostrum) may hinder recovery efforts for individually managed river populations in the US. Reliable survival estimates are essential for evaluating population trends and guiding conservation amid ongoing and emergent threats. However, such estimates are scarce in the recent literature and available for only a few wild populations, with their usefulness in practical management limited. In this study, we leverage multi-year acoustic telemetry data from monitoring projects in the Hudson River, New York (2012–2015), and Altamaha River, Georgia (2011–2014), to develop and compare survival estimates for spawning populations at opposite ends of the species’ US geographic range. Bayesian multistate capture–recapture models indicated high and precise apparent monthly adult survival in both the Hudson (0.991; 95% Bayesian credibility interval [CI]: 0.984–0.996) and Altamaha (0.980; 95% CI: 0.969–0.989) rivers, with implied annual survival rates of 0.897 and 0.787, respectively. Overall, this study advances our understanding of clinal variation in key demographic parameters and underscores the need to develop regionally specific goals for recovery. Broadening the estimates through increased telemetry coverage and integration of additional data will strengthen recovery efforts and support the long-term persistence of shortnose sturgeon across their range.