BILSTM Seq-to-Seq with Multi-Head Attention for Consumer Price Index Forecasting

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures price changes in consumer goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation with significant implications for economic policy, market decisions, and social stability. Accurate CPI forecasting is crucial for effective economic management. Existing CPI forecasting methods lack precise modeling of temporal patterns and struggle to capture long-term trends. To address these shortcomings, this study proposes a sequence-to-sequence model integrating bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BILSTM) networks and a self-attention mechanism. This model enhances temporal dependency capture and supports multi-step predictions. Tested on real-world CPI data, it outperforms baseline neural network models, offering a more precise and robust solution for CPI forecasting.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-04-25
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/icaid65275.2025.11034515
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.11
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article

BILSTM Seq-to-Seq with Multi-Head Attention for Consumer Price Index Forecasting

Shihua Lyu
1 citations
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
2.11
article

BILSTM Seq-to-Seq with Multi-Head Attention for Consumer Price Index Forecasting

Shihua Lyu
article en
1 citations

Abstract

The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures price changes in consumer goods and services, serving as a key indicator of inflation with significant implications for economic policy, market decisions, and social stability. Accurate CPI forecasting is crucial for effective economic management. Existing CPI forecasting methods lack precise modeling of temporal patterns and struggle to capture long-term trends. To address these shortcomings, this study proposes a sequence-to-sequence model integrating bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BILSTM) networks and a self-attention mechanism. This model enhances temporal dependency capture and supports multi-step predictions. Tested on real-world CPI data, it outperforms baseline neural network models, offering a more precise and robust solution for CPI forecasting.

Huaqiao University (CN)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 13%
Forecasting Techniques and Applications
2.11
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