Basketball free throw hit probability prediction system based on deep learning object detection and pose estimation

With the rapid progress of artificial intelligence, deep learning technology has been extensively adopted in sports. As a key scoring point in basketball games, accurately predicting and analyzing the trajectory of arm movements is crucial for enhancing the hit rate of free throws. Therefore, to improve the prediction probability of free throws in basketball games, a spatial transformation module is used to optimize the extraction accuracy of object detection in densely populated sports venues. In addition, the study also utilizes a three-dimensional pose estimation algorithm to predict the vector field of joint key points and joint connections. The accuracy in predicting the angle of the shooting arm and the angle of the take-off leg reached 92.06% and 91.12%, respectively. In summary, the designed system has effectively improved the hit probability of basketball free throws.

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Publication Details

Journal
Systems and Soft Computing
Published
2025-06-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.sasc.2025.200334
Primary Topic
Advanced Measurement and Detection Methods
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Basketball free throw hit probability prediction system based on deep learning object detection and pose estimation

Hao Deng
Systems and Soft Computing
Advanced Measurement and Detection Methods
article

Basketball free throw hit probability prediction system based on deep learning object detection and pose estimation

Hao Deng
article en

Abstract

With the rapid progress of artificial intelligence, deep learning technology has been extensively adopted in sports. As a key scoring point in basketball games, accurately predicting and analyzing the trajectory of arm movements is crucial for enhancing the hit rate of free throws. Therefore, to improve the prediction probability of free throws in basketball games, a spatial transformation module is used to optimize the extraction accuracy of object detection in densely populated sports venues. In addition, the study also utilizes a three-dimensional pose estimation algorithm to predict the vector field of joint key points and joint connections. The accuracy in predicting the angle of the shooting arm and the angle of the take-off leg reached 92.06% and 91.12%, respectively. In summary, the designed system has effectively improved the hit probability of basketball free throws.

Systems and Soft ComputingVol. 7
Xi'an Jiaotong University (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Advanced Measurement and Detection Methods
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Basketball free throw hit probability prediction system based on deep learning object detection and pose estimation — Hao Deng · Systems and Soft Computing (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS