Temporal-spatial dependence-based method for ship traffic flow prediction in wind farms water area

To enhance the precision of predicting ship traffic flow in complex maritime areas, this research examines various traffic flow segments by considering the traffic flow structure and develops a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural network model. Instead of using the conventional time-series input, the study introduces a spatio-temporal dependency feature matrix for ship traffic flow forecasting. The proposed model is implemented to forecast traffic flow in the wind farm cluster waters of Yancheng, Jiangsu province, and is compared against benchmark models including Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The findings indicate that the GRU model, utilizing spatio-temporal dependencies, outperforms mainstream models in accuracy, confirming its effectiveness and dependability.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-06-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1117/12.3059396
Primary Topic
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
Type
article
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article

Temporal-spatial dependence-based method for ship traffic flow prediction in wind farms water area

Weifeng Wang, Huiqin Zhang, Xiaolei Li
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
article

Temporal-spatial dependence-based method for ship traffic flow prediction in wind farms water area

Weifeng Wang, Huiqin Zhang, Xiaolei Li
article en

Abstract

To enhance the precision of predicting ship traffic flow in complex maritime areas, this research examines various traffic flow segments by considering the traffic flow structure and develops a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural network model. Instead of using the conventional time-series input, the study introduces a spatio-temporal dependency feature matrix for ship traffic flow forecasting. The proposed model is implemented to forecast traffic flow in the wind farm cluster waters of Yancheng, Jiangsu province, and is compared against benchmark models including Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA), Support Vector Machines (SVM), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The findings indicate that the GRU model, utilizing spatio-temporal dependencies, outperforms mainstream models in accuracy, confirming its effectiveness and dependability.

Changjiang Water Resources Commission (CN), Changjiang Institute of Survey, Planning, Design and Research (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Maritime Transport Emissions and Efficiency
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Temporal-spatial dependence-based method for ship traffic flow prediction in wind farms water area — Weifeng Wang, Huiqin Zhang, et al. · (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS