Does climate policy uncertainty affect the top financiers of the energy sector?

We examine dynamic co-movements and the dependence structure between the news-based climate policy uncertainty index and distance to default as well as market returns of the top US banks that finance fossil-fuel companies. We utilize Wavelet Coherence approach to examine this relationship in time-frequency domain for the period August 1999 to June 2023. The results suggest that both Distance-to-Default and the returns of US banks do not exhibit strong co-movement and long-term interdependence with climate-related risks. Although there are a few short-term episodes of heightened interlinkages, such trends are not persistent in the long run. The episodes of soaring interdependencies coincide with significant climate action events. The findings imply that since major US banks financing the fossil-fuel industry hold diversified financing portfolios, their stability and market performance is not substantially affected by the performance and stability of fossil fuel companies in the long run. The results carry important implications for investors and policy makers related to environmental regulations and policy effectiveness, financial stability, risk management and asset allocation.

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Publication Details

Journal
International Review of Economics & Finance
Published
2025-06-16
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.104276
Citations
1
Primary Topic
Market Dynamics and Volatility
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
3.13
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article

Does climate policy uncertainty affect the top financiers of the energy sector?

Milena Migliavacca, Zaheer Anwer, Zakaria Boulanouar, Saqib Farid
1 citations
International Review of Economics & Finance
Market Dynamics and Volatility
3.13
article

Does climate policy uncertainty affect the top financiers of the energy sector?

Milena Migliavacca, Zaheer Anwer, Zakaria Boulanouar, Saqib Farid
article en
1 citations

Abstract

We examine dynamic co-movements and the dependence structure between the news-based climate policy uncertainty index and distance to default as well as market returns of the top US banks that finance fossil-fuel companies. We utilize Wavelet Coherence approach to examine this relationship in time-frequency domain for the period August 1999 to June 2023. The results suggest that both Distance-to-Default and the returns of US banks do not exhibit strong co-movement and long-term interdependence with climate-related risks. Although there are a few short-term episodes of heightened interlinkages, such trends are not persistent in the long run. The episodes of soaring interdependencies coincide with significant climate action events. The findings imply that since major US banks financing the fossil-fuel industry hold diversified financing portfolios, their stability and market performance is not substantially affected by the performance and stability of fossil fuel companies in the long run. The results carry important implications for investors and policy makers related to environmental regulations and policy effectiveness, financial stability, risk management and asset allocation.

International Review of Economics & FinanceVol. 102
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore (IT), Al Ain University (AE), United Arab Emirates University (AE), Sunway University (MY), University of Management and Technology (PK)
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 8%
Market Dynamics and Volatility
3.13
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