Analysis of the Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Tools on Unemployment Rates in the Iraqi Economy after 2004 Using the Different Time Frequency Model (MIDAS)

This research aims to clarify the impact of the monthly frequency money supply on the quarterly frequency unemployment in the Iraqi economy for the period (2004-2024) using regression models with different time frequencies MIDAS, in order to obtain more accurate results in studying the impact and forecasting by taking advantage of the full information on the high-frequency variable, through the hypothesis that states that there is a positive significant impact of the independent variable represented by monetary policy tools on the dependent variable represented by unemployment rates in The Iraqi economy after 2004 The researcher has concluded that there is an impact of the previous period of unemployment on the current period, and a negative and statistically significant impact, which is consistent with the economic theory, which emphasizes that the unemployment rate is affected by unemployment rates in previous periods and at a rate of (0.004257%) whenever the previous series changed by (1%), because it is a reason to reduce the economic crisis, which is the reason for reducing unemployment rates during the current period.