Human–AI collectives most accurately diagnose clinical vignettes
AI systems, particularly large language models (LLMs), are increasingly being employed in high-stakes decisions that impact both individuals and society at large, often without adequate safeguards to ensure safety, quality, and equity. Yet LLMs hallucinate, lack common sense, and are biased-shortcomings that may reflect LLMs' inherent limitations and thus may not be remedied by more sophisticated architectures, more data, or more human feedback. Relying solely on LLMs for complex, high-stakes decisions is therefore problematic. Here, we present a hybrid collective intelligence system that mitigates these risks by leveraging the complementary strengths of human experience and the vast information processed by LLMs. We apply our method to open-ended medical diagnostics, combining 40,762 differential diagnoses made by physicians with the diagnoses of five state-of-the art LLMs across 2,133 text-based medical case vignettes. We show that hybrid collectives of physicians and LLMs outperform both single physicians and physician collectives, as well as single LLMs and LLM ensembles. This result holds across a range of medical specialties and professional experience and can be attributed to humans' and LLMs' complementary contributions that lead to different kinds of errors. Our approach highlights the potential for collective human and machine intelligence to improve accuracy in complex, open-ended domains like medical diagnostics.
Authors
- Nikolas Zöller
- Stefan Michael Herzog (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2329-6433)
- Benjamin Harack (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1813-7772)
- Kornel Laskowski (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0008-8060-6913)
- Gioele Barabucci (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4586-0111)
- Victor Shia (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2465-7210)
- Vito Trianni (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9114-8486)
- Ralf H. J. M. Kurvers (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3460-0392)
- Nathan Fu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0005-0483-092X)
- Jayanth Komarneni
- I-Chun Lin (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6775-8914)
- Eugene Chu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0009-0002-7919-9157)
- Julian Berger (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0740-895X)
Institutions
- Harvey Mudd College (US)
- Kaiser Permanente (US)
- University of California, San Francisco (US)
- University of Cologne (DE)
- University of Oxford (GB)
- Max Planck Institute for Human Development (DE)
- Centre for Artificial Intelligence and Robotics (IN)
- Rational (Germany) (DE)
- Innovation Cluster (Canada) (CA)
- National Research Council (RO)
- Human Immunome Project (US)
- Institute of Cognitive Sciences and Technologies (IT)
- The Human Diagnosis Project
- Technische Universität Berlin (DE)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
- Published
- 2025-06-13
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2426153122
- Citations
- 15
- Primary Topic
- Clinical Reasoning and Diagnostic Skills
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 22.74
Funders
- Kaiser Permanente
- Harvey Mudd College
- University of Oxford
- European Commission
- Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft
- Max-Planck-Gesellschaft
- Universität zu Köln
- Max-Planck-Institut für Bildungsforschung
- HORIZON EUROPE Framework Programme
- HORIZON EUROPE European Research Council