FORECAST OF SOIL LOSS DUE TO WATER EROSION IN THE POLISSIA AND FOREST-STEPPE REGIONS OF UKRAINE

Climatic conditions and ecological regimes in certain zones are undergoing such profound changes that they no longer correspond to traditional notions of typical natural processes. However, the causes of global climate change remain a subject of scientific debate, the fact of these changes is no longer in doubt. As a result, technological solutions developed for stable conditions are losing their effectiveness in rapidly changing environments. At the same time, agroecological effects are emerging that extend beyond individual fields or farms and require management at the regional level. Such effects are characterized by spatial and temporal inertia, which determines the need for long-term strategic planning of agricultural sector development within large territorial units. Effective planning can only be based on a theoretical understanding of the systemic properties of agroecological systems at the regional level. Developing such a theoretical foundation and determining the existence of systemic characteristics in natural-anthropogenic complexes is an important and timely scientific challenge.