A Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Method Based on Meteorological Data Using GRF-LSTM-XGBoost Model

This paper proposes a short-term photovoltaic power forecasting method based on a Genetic Algorithm-Random Forest (GRF)-LSTM-XGBoost hybrid model, aimed at improving accuracy by addressing the limitations of traditional models in feature selection and time series modeling. The Genetic Algorithm optimizes feature selection, LSTM captures long-term dependencies, and XGBoost corrects prediction residuals, enhancing forecast precision. Experimental results from a photovoltaic facade in Wuhan show that the GRF-LSTM-XGBoost model significantly outperforms traditional models in terms of prediction accuracy under various weather conditions.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/aeees64634.2025.11019969
Primary Topic
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
Type
article
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article

A Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Method Based on Meteorological Data Using GRF-LSTM-XGBoost Model

Liang Huang, Tong Zhao
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
article

A Short-Term Photovoltaic Power Forecasting Method Based on Meteorological Data Using GRF-LSTM-XGBoost Model

Liang Huang, Tong Zhao
article en

Abstract

This paper proposes a short-term photovoltaic power forecasting method based on a Genetic Algorithm-Random Forest (GRF)-LSTM-XGBoost hybrid model, aimed at improving accuracy by addressing the limitations of traditional models in feature selection and time series modeling. The Genetic Algorithm optimizes feature selection, LSTM captures long-term dependencies, and XGBoost corrects prediction residuals, enhancing forecast precision. Experimental results from a photovoltaic facade in Wuhan show that the GRF-LSTM-XGBoost model significantly outperforms traditional models in terms of prediction accuracy under various weather conditions.

Wuhan University of Technology (CN)
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Solar Radiation and Photovoltaics
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