Research on the Dynamic Determination Method for Provincial Spinning Reserve Market Demand Considering the Intraday Inter-Provincial Spot Market Trading in China

With the formal operation of the inter-provincial spot market, China has established a dual-layer structure consisting of the inter-provincial electricity market and the provincial electricity market, which has enriched the means of ensuring power balance at the provincial level. This paper proposes a method for determining provincial reserve market demand, which takes into account the expected trading amount of the inter-provincial spot market. By combining price forecasts for the intraday inter-provincial spot market and intraday provincial spot market during the day-ahead stage, the method improves the demand determination process for the spinning reserve market in the day-ahead stage. The method also utilizes intraday spot market transactions to meet part of the incremental demand that may arise in the real-time provincial market, thus enhancing system economic efficiency. A case study based on data from a province in Northwest China demonstrates the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method.

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Publication Details

Published
2025-03-28
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1109/aeees64634.2025.11019857
Primary Topic
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
Type
article
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Research on the Dynamic Determination Method for Provincial Spinning Reserve Market Demand Considering the Intraday Inter-Provincial Spot Market Trading in China

Yi Wu, Shuying Zhang, Dan Meng
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
article

Research on the Dynamic Determination Method for Provincial Spinning Reserve Market Demand Considering the Intraday Inter-Provincial Spot Market Trading in China

Yi Wu, Shuying Zhang, Dan Meng
article en

Abstract

With the formal operation of the inter-provincial spot market, China has established a dual-layer structure consisting of the inter-provincial electricity market and the provincial electricity market, which has enriched the means of ensuring power balance at the provincial level. This paper proposes a method for determining provincial reserve market demand, which takes into account the expected trading amount of the inter-provincial spot market. By combining price forecasts for the intraday inter-provincial spot market and intraday provincial spot market during the day-ahead stage, the method improves the demand determination process for the spinning reserve market in the day-ahead stage. The method also utilizes intraday spot market transactions to meet part of the incremental demand that may arise in the real-time provincial market, thus enhancing system economic efficiency. A case study based on data from a province in Northwest China demonstrates the effectiveness and feasibility of the proposed method.

Shanghai Electric (China) (CN)
Openalex Percentile: Top 94%
Bayesian Modeling and Causal Inference
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