Assessment of Flood Risk of Residential Buildings by Using the AHP-CRITIC Method: A Case Study of the Katsushika Ward, Tokyo

The flood risk of urban buildings has been continuously increasing, owing to the increasing frequency and severity of floods. There is an urgent need to implement precise mitigation strategies to address the unique characteristics of urban residential structures. In this study, an indicator system consisting of 17 indicators in four dimensions (extent of hazard, degree of exposure, vulnerability, and response ability) was developed for the flood risk of residential buildings. The assessment was conducted in Katsushika Ward, Tokyo, and the ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS(AHP)—Criteria Importance Through Intercriteria Correlation (CRITIC) method was integrated with Geographic Information System(GIS) technology. The spatial distribution of residential flood risk exhibits marked heterogeneity, with ‘extremely high’ and ‘high’ risk areas concentrated in northwestern and southwestern riverine zones. These regions exhibit dense populations, substantial assets, deep immersion depths, prolonged inundation durations, high proportions of wooden houses, and narrow roads impeding rescue operations. The mitigation priorities are the following: Enhance flood-resistant building heights and quality in riverside areas, strengthen vacant house management, widen rescue access routes, promote mid-/high-rise buildings, and optimize subsidies for tenants and single-person households to minimize losses.