Beyond Assumptions: Applying Estimation Models to Predict Real-World Outcomes

By Abel J. Stephen. This paper presents a novel methodology for enhancing project duration estimation by sequentially integrating the Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT), beta distributions, and smoothed Monte Carlo simulation.

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Publication Details

Journal
The Journal of The Math3ma Institute
Published
2025-06-11
DOI
https://doi.org/10.55409/math3ma20250611
Primary Topic
Primary Care and Health Outcomes
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Beyond Assumptions: Applying Estimation Models to Predict Real-World Outcomes

Abel J. Stephen
The Journal of The Math3ma Institute
Primary Care and Health Outcomes
article

Beyond Assumptions: Applying Estimation Models to Predict Real-World Outcomes

Abel J. Stephen
article en

Abstract

By Abel J. Stephen. This paper presents a novel methodology for enhancing project duration estimation by sequentially integrating the Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT), beta distributions, and smoothed Monte Carlo simulation.

The Journal of The Math3ma Institute
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Primary Care and Health Outcomes
DOIOpen Access PDFOpenAlex
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Beyond Assumptions: Applying Estimation Models to Predict Real-World Outcomes — Abel J. Stephen · The Journal of The Math3ma Institute (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS