Bayesian accelerated life testing models for the log-normal and gamma distributions under dual-stresses

In this paper, a Bayesian approach to accelerated life testing models with two stressors is presented. Lifetimes are assumed to follow either a log-normal distribution or a gamma distribution, which have been mostly overlooked in the Bayesian literature when considering multiple stressors. The generalized Eyring relationship is used as the time transformation function, which allows for the use of one thermal stressor and one non-thermal stressor. Due to the mathematically intractable posteriors of these models, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are utilized to obtain posterior samples on which to base inference. The models are applied to a real dataset, where model comparison metrics are calculated and estimates are provided of the model parameters, predictive reliability, and mean time to failure. The robustness of the models is also investigated in terms of the prior specification.

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Publication Details

Journal
Statistics Optimization & Information Computing
Published
2025-03-21
DOI
https://doi.org/10.19139/soic-2310-5070-2293
Primary Topic
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
Type
article
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article

Bayesian accelerated life testing models for the log-normal and gamma distributions under dual-stresses

Neill Smit
Statistics Optimization & Information Computing
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
article

Bayesian accelerated life testing models for the log-normal and gamma distributions under dual-stresses

Neill Smit
article en

Abstract

In this paper, a Bayesian approach to accelerated life testing models with two stressors is presented. Lifetimes are assumed to follow either a log-normal distribution or a gamma distribution, which have been mostly overlooked in the Bayesian literature when considering multiple stressors. The generalized Eyring relationship is used as the time transformation function, which allows for the use of one thermal stressor and one non-thermal stressor. Due to the mathematically intractable posteriors of these models, Markov chain Monte Carlo methods are utilized to obtain posterior samples on which to base inference. The models are applied to a real dataset, where model comparison metrics are calculated and estimates are provided of the model parameters, predictive reliability, and mean time to failure. The robustness of the models is also investigated in terms of the prior specification.

Statistics Optimization & Information ComputingVol. 13(6)
North-West University (ZA)
Openalex Percentile: Top 87%
Statistical Distribution Estimation and Applications
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Bayesian accelerated life testing models for the log-normal and gamma distributions under dual-stresses — Neill Smit · Statistics Optimization & Information Computing (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS