Skewness Premium for Short‐Term Exposure to Squared Market Returns

ABSTRACT Following Kraus and Litzenberger, the skewness of stock returns is often modeled as exposure to the square of the market return. We use a trading strategy in S&P 500 options that creates exposure to the square of the S&P 500 return without affecting other characteristics of a direct index investment. This allows us to uniquely identify the skewness premium. We find a significantly negative premium on daily returns, which amounts to a return difference of 5 percentage points per year between a put‐based strategy (negative skewness) and a call‐based strategy (positive skewness). Our results suggest that short‐term exposure to squared market returns is important for investors, even though this exposure declines sharply when returns are aggregated over months or quarters.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Futures Markets
Published
2025-06-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1002/fut.22615
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00
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article

Skewness Premium for Short‐Term Exposure to Squared Market Returns

Martin Wallmeier
Journal of Futures Markets
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
article

Skewness Premium for Short‐Term Exposure to Squared Market Returns

Martin Wallmeier
article en

Abstract

ABSTRACT Following Kraus and Litzenberger, the skewness of stock returns is often modeled as exposure to the square of the market return. We use a trading strategy in S&P 500 options that creates exposure to the square of the S&P 500 return without affecting other characteristics of a direct index investment. This allows us to uniquely identify the skewness premium. We find a significantly negative premium on daily returns, which amounts to a return difference of 5 percentage points per year between a put‐based strategy (negative skewness) and a call‐based strategy (positive skewness). Our results suggest that short‐term exposure to squared market returns is important for investors, even though this exposure declines sharply when returns are aggregated over months or quarters.

Journal of Futures MarketsVol. 45(9)
University of Fribourg (CH)
Openalex Percentile: Top 83%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
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