ResPoNet: A Residual Neural Network for Efficient Valuation of Large Variable Annuity Portfolios

Accurately valuing large portfolios of Variable Annuities (VAs) poses a significant challenge due to the high computational burden of Monte Carlo simulations and the limitations of spatial interpolation methods that rely on manually defined distance metrics. We introduce a residual portfolio valuation network (ResPoNet), a novel residual neural network architecture enhanced with weighted loss functions, designed to improve valuation accuracy and scalability. ResPoNet systematically accounts for mortality risk and path-dependent liabilities using residual layers, while the custom loss function ensures better convergence and interpretability. Numerical results on synthetic portfolios of 100,000 contracts show that ResPoNet achieves significantly lower valuation errors than baseline neural and spatial methods, with faster convergence and improved generalization. Sensitivity analysis reveals key drivers of performance, including guarantee complexity and contract maturity, demonstrating the robustness and practical applicability of ResPoNet in large-scale VA valuation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Mathematics
Published
2025-06-08
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/math13121916
Primary Topic
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

ResPoNet: A Residual Neural Network for Efficient Valuation of Large Variable Annuity Portfolios

Yixing Zhao, Rogemar Mamon, Heng Xiong, Jie Xu
Mathematics
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
article

ResPoNet: A Residual Neural Network for Efficient Valuation of Large Variable Annuity Portfolios

Yixing Zhao, Rogemar Mamon, Heng Xiong, Jie Xu
article en

Abstract

Accurately valuing large portfolios of Variable Annuities (VAs) poses a significant challenge due to the high computational burden of Monte Carlo simulations and the limitations of spatial interpolation methods that rely on manually defined distance metrics. We introduce a residual portfolio valuation network (ResPoNet), a novel residual neural network architecture enhanced with weighted loss functions, designed to improve valuation accuracy and scalability. ResPoNet systematically accounts for mortality risk and path-dependent liabilities using residual layers, while the custom loss function ensures better convergence and interpretability. Numerical results on synthetic portfolios of 100,000 contracts show that ResPoNet achieves significantly lower valuation errors than baseline neural and spatial methods, with faster convergence and improved generalization. Sensitivity analysis reveals key drivers of performance, including guarantee complexity and contract maturity, demonstrating the robustness and practical applicability of ResPoNet in large-scale VA valuation.

MathematicsVol. 13(12)
Ningbo University (CN), Western University (CA), Guangdong University of Foreign Studies (CN), University of the Philippines Visayas (PH), Wuhan University (CN)
Ministry of Education of the People's Republic of China, State Administration of Foreign Experts Affairs, Ministry of Education, India
Openalex Percentile: Top 78%
Insurance, Mortality, Demography, Risk Management
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