TENDÊNCIA TEMPORAL DE HIV/AIDS NO ESTADO DE MINAS GERAIS, BRASIL: 2007 A 2020

The temporal trend of the incidence, detection, and mortality coefficients related to the Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) and Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) in Minas Gerais, Southeast Brazil, between 2007 and 2020, was analyzed. This study employed an ecological time series design using data from the Information System for Notifiable Diseases (SINAN). Prais-Winsten regression was utilized for trend analysis with 95% confidence intervals. Throughout the studied period, 55,376 cases of HIV/AIDS were reported, predominantly among males (71.8%), with sexual transmission being the primary mode (81.42%), of which 48.87% were among homosexual individuals and 41.33% among heterosexual and bisexual individuals (9.78%). There was a decrease of 2.87% (per 100,000 population) in the AIDS incidence rate (annual variation of -2.8%; 95% CI: 0.090; 0.038) and an increase of 18.96% in HIV detection (annual variation 43.0%; 95% CI: 0.194; 0.713). The mortality rate decreased by 1.75% (95% CI: -0.116; -0.020). The percentage of notifications based on the HIV+ criterion increased from 3.22% in 2007 to 77.29% in 2020. The trend of increasing HIV detection aligns with the strategy for case identification through compulsory notification in 2014.