Life prediction of residual current circuit breakers using Bayesian optimization-based bidirectional LSTM
• A BO-BiLSTM model is proposed to predict RCCB service life accurately. • Temperature-accelerated aging tests reveal degradation trends of RCCBs. • BO-BiLSTM outperforms BP and LSTM in prediction error and generalization. • Model accuracy is validated by test data; 25 °C life is extrapolated via Arrhenius model. • The method supports reliability assessment of low-voltage protective devices. Residual current circuit breakers (RCCBs) play a critical role in preventing electrical leakage accidents; however, accurately predicting their service life remains a challenge in power system safety management. This study proposes a Bayesian optimization-based Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BO-BiLSTM) neural network to address this issue. Accelerated aging tests were conducted with temperature as the stress variable to analyze the degradation path of residual operating current. To optimize hyperparameter selection in Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), a Bayesian optimization-based BO-BiLSTM model was introduced, significantly enhancing the accuracy of degradation trajectory predictions. The model successfully estimated the pseudo-failure lifetime of RCCBs at 55 °C and 65 °C and extrapolated predictions for 77 °C, with validation against accelerated aging test data confirming its reliability. Furthermore, by integrating the Arrhenius equation with accelerated life test results, the RCCB’s service life under room-temperature operating conditions (25 °C) was projected, demonstrating its applicability for real-world deployment in power distribution systems.
Authors
- Xujing Wang
- Guojin Liu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3203-1402)
- Chenxiao Wang (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4324-0042)
- Jianhua Miao (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1382-0959)
- Xu Liu
Institutions
- Hebei University of Technology (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Electric Power Systems Research
- Published
- 2025-06-09
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2025.111899
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Power System Reliability and Maintenance
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 2.61
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China
- State Key Laboratory of Reliability and Intelligence of Electrical Equipment