Life prediction of residual current circuit breakers using Bayesian optimization-based bidirectional LSTM

• A BO-BiLSTM model is proposed to predict RCCB service life accurately. • Temperature-accelerated aging tests reveal degradation trends of RCCBs. • BO-BiLSTM outperforms BP and LSTM in prediction error and generalization. • Model accuracy is validated by test data; 25 °C life is extrapolated via Arrhenius model. • The method supports reliability assessment of low-voltage protective devices. Residual current circuit breakers (RCCBs) play a critical role in preventing electrical leakage accidents; however, accurately predicting their service life remains a challenge in power system safety management. This study proposes a Bayesian optimization-based Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BO-BiLSTM) neural network to address this issue. Accelerated aging tests were conducted with temperature as the stress variable to analyze the degradation path of residual operating current. To optimize hyperparameter selection in Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), a Bayesian optimization-based BO-BiLSTM model was introduced, significantly enhancing the accuracy of degradation trajectory predictions. The model successfully estimated the pseudo-failure lifetime of RCCBs at 55 °C and 65 °C and extrapolated predictions for 77 °C, with validation against accelerated aging test data confirming its reliability. Furthermore, by integrating the Arrhenius equation with accelerated life test results, the RCCB’s service life under room-temperature operating conditions (25 °C) was projected, demonstrating its applicability for real-world deployment in power distribution systems.

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Publication Details

Journal
Electric Power Systems Research
Published
2025-06-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsr.2025.111899
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Power System Reliability and Maintenance
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
2.61

Funders

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article

Life prediction of residual current circuit breakers using Bayesian optimization-based bidirectional LSTM

Xujing Wang, Guojin Liu, Chenxiao Wang, Jianhua Miao et al.
2 citations
Electric Power Systems Research
Power System Reliability and Maintenance
2.61
article

Life prediction of residual current circuit breakers using Bayesian optimization-based bidirectional LSTM

Xujing Wang, Guojin Liu, Chenxiao Wang, Jianhua Miao, Xu Liu
article en
2 citations

Abstract

• A BO-BiLSTM model is proposed to predict RCCB service life accurately. • Temperature-accelerated aging tests reveal degradation trends of RCCBs. • BO-BiLSTM outperforms BP and LSTM in prediction error and generalization. • Model accuracy is validated by test data; 25 °C life is extrapolated via Arrhenius model. • The method supports reliability assessment of low-voltage protective devices. Residual current circuit breakers (RCCBs) play a critical role in preventing electrical leakage accidents; however, accurately predicting their service life remains a challenge in power system safety management. This study proposes a Bayesian optimization-based Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BO-BiLSTM) neural network to address this issue. Accelerated aging tests were conducted with temperature as the stress variable to analyze the degradation path of residual operating current. To optimize hyperparameter selection in Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM), a Bayesian optimization-based BO-BiLSTM model was introduced, significantly enhancing the accuracy of degradation trajectory predictions. The model successfully estimated the pseudo-failure lifetime of RCCBs at 55 °C and 65 °C and extrapolated predictions for 77 °C, with validation against accelerated aging test data confirming its reliability. Furthermore, by integrating the Arrhenius equation with accelerated life test results, the RCCB’s service life under room-temperature operating conditions (25 °C) was projected, demonstrating its applicability for real-world deployment in power distribution systems.

Electric Power Systems ResearchVol. 248
Hebei University of Technology (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China, State Key Laboratory of Reliability and Intelligence of Electrical Equipment
Responsible consumption and production
Openalex Percentile: Top 11%
Power System Reliability and Maintenance
2.61
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Life prediction of residual current circuit breakers using Bayesian optimization-based bidirectional LSTM — Xujing Wang, Guojin Liu, et al. · Electric Power Systems Research (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS