An open‐access simulated earthquake ground‐motion database for an M7 Hayward Fault earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Region

Comprehensive understanding of earthquake ground motions, particularly in the near‐fault region of large‐magnitude events, is limited by gaps in strong‐motion data. This challenge is prominent in areas with high seismic hazard but infrequent large earthquakes where data is sparse and difficult to interpret. These data limitations lead to uncertainties in the development of site‐specific ground motions, which are crucial for engineering risk assessments. To address these challenges, physics‐based regional‐scale ground‐motion simulations have been developed. With the emergence of exaflop‐scale computing ecosystems, it is now possible to simulate regional earthquake processes at unprecedented fidelity and generate the large number of fault rupture realizations necessary to characterize both intra‐ and inter‐event ground‐motion variability. This article introduces a new database of simulated earthquake ground motions, created for applications in earthquake engineering, earthquake planning, and emergency response. The inaugural version of the database features simulated ground motions for a magnitude 7 Hayward Fault earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Region (SFBR), using the EarthQuake SIMulation (EQSIM) simulation framework and the Graves–Pitarka kinematic rupture model. The aim is to provide high‐fidelity, spatially dense, three‐component motions generated on the Department of Energy's (DOE) newest generation of graphics processing unit (GPU)‐accelerated supercomputers. These motions are being made openly available to the engineering, scientific, and disaster planning communities. In addition, this work develops protocols for the efficient dissemination of these large data sets and emphasizes community engagement to build confidence in their application. This article discusses the methodology behind the data, underlying software verification and validation, scalable data management, and a user interface for data access. The goal is to facilitate widespread use and elicit expert feedback to maximize the utility and exploitation of simulated motions. While the initial focus is on the San Francisco Region, simulations for additional regions will be added as the DOE program progresses.

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Publication Details

Journal
Earthquake Spectra
Published
2025-06-09
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1177/87552930251340960
Citations
5
Primary Topic
Seismic Performance and Analysis
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
4.77

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article

An open‐access simulated earthquake ground‐motion database for an M7 Hayward Fault earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Region

Floriana Petrone, David McCallen, Rie Nakata, Houjun Tang et al.
5 citations
Earthquake Spectra
Seismic Performance and Analysis
4.77
article

An open‐access simulated earthquake ground‐motion database for an M7 Hayward Fault earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Region

Floriana Petrone, David McCallen, Rie Nakata, Houjun Tang, Arben Pitarka, Claudio Perez, Khalid M. Mosalam, Selim Günay
article en
5 citations

Abstract

Comprehensive understanding of earthquake ground motions, particularly in the near‐fault region of large‐magnitude events, is limited by gaps in strong‐motion data. This challenge is prominent in areas with high seismic hazard but infrequent large earthquakes where data is sparse and difficult to interpret. These data limitations lead to uncertainties in the development of site‐specific ground motions, which are crucial for engineering risk assessments. To address these challenges, physics‐based regional‐scale ground‐motion simulations have been developed. With the emergence of exaflop‐scale computing ecosystems, it is now possible to simulate regional earthquake processes at unprecedented fidelity and generate the large number of fault rupture realizations necessary to characterize both intra‐ and inter‐event ground‐motion variability. This article introduces a new database of simulated earthquake ground motions, created for applications in earthquake engineering, earthquake planning, and emergency response. The inaugural version of the database features simulated ground motions for a magnitude 7 Hayward Fault earthquake in the San Francisco Bay Region (SFBR), using the EarthQuake SIMulation (EQSIM) simulation framework and the Graves–Pitarka kinematic rupture model. The aim is to provide high‐fidelity, spatially dense, three‐component motions generated on the Department of Energy's (DOE) newest generation of graphics processing unit (GPU)‐accelerated supercomputers. These motions are being made openly available to the engineering, scientific, and disaster planning communities. In addition, this work develops protocols for the efficient dissemination of these large data sets and emphasizes community engagement to build confidence in their application. This article discusses the methodology behind the data, underlying software verification and validation, scalable data management, and a user interface for data access. The goal is to facilitate widespread use and elicit expert feedback to maximize the utility and exploitation of simulated motions. While the initial focus is on the San Francisco Region, simulations for additional regions will be added as the DOE program progresses.

Earthquake SpectraVol. 41(3)
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (US), University of Nevada, Reno (US), Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (US), Earthquake Engineering Research Institute (US), University of California, Berkeley (US)
U.S. Department of Energy
Climate action
Openalex Percentile: Top 5%
Seismic Performance and Analysis
4.77
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