Ground-Motion Characteristics of Cascading Earthquakes in a Multiscale Fracture Network

ABSTRACT Fault zones exhibit geometrical complexity and are often surrounded by multiscale fracture networks within their damage zones, potentially influencing rupture dynamics and near-field ground motions. In this study, we investigate the ground-motion characteristics of cascading ruptures across damage zone fracture networks of moderate-size earthquakes (Mw 5.5–6.0) using high-resolution 3D dynamic rupture simulations. Our models feature a listric normal fault surrounded by more than 800 fractures, emulating a major fault and its associated damage zone. We analyze three cases: a cascading rupture propagating within the fracture network (Mw 5.5), a non-cascading main-fault rupture with off-fault fracture slip (Mw 6.0), and a main-fault rupture without a fracture network (Mw 6.0). Cascading ruptures within the fracture network produce distinct ground-motion signatures with enriched high-frequency content, arising from simultaneous slip of multiple fractures and parts of the main fault, resembling source coda-wave-like signatures. This case shows elevated near-field characteristic frequency (fc) and stress drop, approximately an order of magnitude higher than the estimation directly on the fault of the dynamic rupture simulation. The inferred fc of the modeled vertical ground-motion components reflects the complexity of the radiation pattern and rupture directivity of fracture-network cascading earthquakes. We show that this is consistent with observations of strong azimuthal dependence of corner frequency in the 2009–2016 central Apennines, Italy, earthquake, sequence. Simulated ground motions from fracture-network cascading ruptures also show pronounced azimuthal variations in peak ground acceleration (PGA), peak ground velocity, and pseudospectral acceleration, with average PGA nearly double that of the non-cascading cases. Cascading ruptures radiate high-frequency seismic energy, yield nontypical ground-motion characteristics including coda-wave-like signatures, and may result in a significantly higher seismologically inferred stress drop and PGA. Such outcomes emphasize the critical role of fault-zone complexity in affecting rupture dynamics and seismic radiation and have important implications for physics-based seismic hazard assessment.