Remote-Sensed Evidence of Fire Alleviating Forest Canopy Water Stress Under a Drying Climate

Fire is a distinctive factor in forest ecosystems. While uncontrolled wildfires can cause significant damage, prescribed burning is widely used as a management tool. However, despite the growing threat of forest water stress under climate change, there is a lack of concrete evidence on the impact of fire on water stress in forest ecosystems. This study utilized Landsat time-series remote sensing data combined with the Infrared Canopy Dryness Index (ICDI) to monitor changes in canopy dryness patterns across the eucalyptus-dominated Northern Jarrah Forest of southwestern Australia. The forest was chosen due to its exposure to a changing climate characterized by decreasing rainfall and more frequent droughts, signs of water stress in otherwise drought-resilient trees, and its well-documented fire management history. Analysis of ICDI patterns over the period from 1988 to 2024 revealed a clear overall trend of increasing water stress, coinciding with a small overall decline in annual rainfall in the 10,000 km2 study area. Furthermore, by examining five prescribed burns and five wildfires, we found that NDVI-assessed canopy cover recovered rapidly in fire-affected areas, typically within one to three years, depending on fire severity. However, ICDI water stress levels were reduced for approximately 7–8 years following low-severity prescribed burns and more than 20 years after high-severity wildfires. These findings suggest the potential of prescribed burning as a tool to mitigate water stress in vulnerable forest landscapes, particularly in regions prone to drought and climate change. Additionally, the study underscores the effectiveness of the ICDI in monitoring forest water stress and its potential for broader applications in forest management and climate adaptation strategies.