Logit neural-network utility

We introduce stochastic choice models that feature neural networks, one of which is called the logit neural-network utility (NU) model. We show how to use simple neurons, referred to as behavioral neurons, to capture behavioral effects, such as the certainty effect and reference dependence. We find that simple logit NU models with natural interpretation provide better out-of-sample predictions than expected utility theory and cumulative prospect theory, especially for choice problems that involve lotteries with both positive and negative prizes. We also find that the use of behavioral neurons mitigates overfitting and significantly improves our models’ performance, consistent with numerous successes in introducing useful inductive biases in the machine-learning literature.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Published
2025-06-06
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jebo.2025.107054
Primary Topic
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Logit neural-network utility

Shaowei Ke, Sung-Lin Hsieh, Chen Zhao, Zhaoran Wang
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
article

Logit neural-network utility

Shaowei Ke, Sung-Lin Hsieh, Chen Zhao, Zhaoran Wang
article en

Abstract

We introduce stochastic choice models that feature neural networks, one of which is called the logit neural-network utility (NU) model. We show how to use simple neurons, referred to as behavioral neurons, to capture behavioral effects, such as the certainty effect and reference dependence. We find that simple logit NU models with natural interpretation provide better out-of-sample predictions than expected utility theory and cumulative prospect theory, especially for choice problems that involve lotteries with both positive and negative prizes. We also find that the use of behavioral neurons mitigates overfitting and significantly improves our models’ performance, consistent with numerous successes in introducing useful inductive biases in the machine-learning literature.

Journal of Economic Behavior & OrganizationVol. 236
Northwestern University (US), Management Sciences (United States) (US), China Europe International Business School (CN), University of Hong Kong (HK)
Yale University, University of Pennsylvania
Openalex Percentile: Top 86%
Time Series Analysis and Forecasting
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Logit neural-network utility — Shaowei Ke, Sung-Lin Hsieh, et al. · Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS