Dynamical analysis of a monkeypox spread model with human to human saturated incidence rate and environmental transmission
In this paper, we study the behavior of monkeypox spread by constructing a compartmental model describing virus transmission between humans, animals, and the environment. The model incorporates vaccination on susceptible humans, quarantine on exposed humans, and hospitalization on infected humans. A saturated incidence rate is applied to obtain a more realistic model. The model's basic reproduction number ($R_0$) is obtained by applying the next generation matrix method. The analysis shows that the local stability of the equilibrium points depends on the value of $R_0$, and it is also shown that the model undergoes forward bifurcation. Furthermore, sensitivity analysis and numerical simulations were conducted to illustrate the analytical results.
Authors
- Trisilowati
- Wuryansari Muharini Kusumawinahyu (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7307-1537)
- Brazil Vargas Junior Possumah
Institutions
- University of Brawijaya (ID)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Mathematics in Applied Sciences and Engineering
- Published
- 2025-06-02
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.5206/mase/22269
- Primary Topic
- Bacteriophages and microbial interactions
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 0.00