Inequality, conspiracy theories, and redistribution

Despite a rapid increase in inequality, redistribution does not necessarily expand. I address this paradox by emphasizing a novel effect of inequality on the acceptance of conspiracy theories. For this purpose, I develop an electoral competition model in which voters are divided into rich and poor. Each voter weighs the desire to maintain their self-image against the need for accurate beliefs, leading to varied endorsements of conspiracy theories. In the model, greater inequality leads the poor to believe more strongly in conspiracy theories. As a result, poor voters can seek more reforms to defeat conspiracies and lower income taxation. I show that greater inequality paradoxically reduces income taxation when the initial inequality is high and the distortion of taxation is large. In the shadow of prevalent conspiracy theories, democracy may fail to act as a protector against rising inequality.

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Publication Details

Journal
European Journal of Political Economy
Published
2025-06-03
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2025.102698
Primary Topic
Social Policy and Reform Studies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Inequality, conspiracy theories, and redistribution

Daiki Kishishita
European Journal of Political Economy
Social Policy and Reform Studies
article

Inequality, conspiracy theories, and redistribution

Daiki Kishishita
article en

Abstract

Despite a rapid increase in inequality, redistribution does not necessarily expand. I address this paradox by emphasizing a novel effect of inequality on the acceptance of conspiracy theories. For this purpose, I develop an electoral competition model in which voters are divided into rich and poor. Each voter weighs the desire to maintain their self-image against the need for accurate beliefs, leading to varied endorsements of conspiracy theories. In the model, greater inequality leads the poor to believe more strongly in conspiracy theories. As a result, poor voters can seek more reforms to defeat conspiracies and lower income taxation. I show that greater inequality paradoxically reduces income taxation when the initial inequality is high and the distortion of taxation is large. In the shadow of prevalent conspiracy theories, democracy may fail to act as a protector against rising inequality.

European Journal of Political EconomyVol. 89
Tokyo University of Science (JP)
Japan Society for the Promotion of Science
Openalex Percentile: Top 86%
Social Policy and Reform Studies
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