Copula-based deep neural networks for clustered survival data

Dependence among clustered survival data (i.e.multivariate correlated time-to-event data) can be described through copula survival hazard models or frailty models.Here, the risk prediction is based on the linear predictor which can be a strong assumption.The copula survival models have been relatively less studied as compared to frailty models.The deep neural networks (DNN) is a powerful structured neural network consisting of three layers (input, hidden and output layers) for constructing (or modelling) the functional relationship (mainly nonlinear) between input and output variables.In this paper, we propose a DNN approach for the copula models with clustered survival data.For simplicity, we use Weibull marginal hazard functions under the Clayton copula function.The proposed DNN copula model is trained by using a negative copula likelihood as a loss function.The predictive performance of the proposed method is evaluated by comparing it with existing methods in terms of C-index and integrated Brier score using simulation study and a real data set.

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Publication Details

Journal
Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
Published
2025-05-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.29220/csam.2025.32.3.389
Primary Topic
Statistical Methods and Inference
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
0.00

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article

Copula-based deep neural networks for clustered survival data

Takeshi Emura, Il Do Ha, Jihoon Kwon
Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
Statistical Methods and Inference
article

Copula-based deep neural networks for clustered survival data

Takeshi Emura, Il Do Ha, Jihoon Kwon
article en

Abstract

Dependence among clustered survival data (i.e.multivariate correlated time-to-event data) can be described through copula survival hazard models or frailty models.Here, the risk prediction is based on the linear predictor which can be a strong assumption.The copula survival models have been relatively less studied as compared to frailty models.The deep neural networks (DNN) is a powerful structured neural network consisting of three layers (input, hidden and output layers) for constructing (or modelling) the functional relationship (mainly nonlinear) between input and output variables.In this paper, we propose a DNN approach for the copula models with clustered survival data.For simplicity, we use Weibull marginal hazard functions under the Clayton copula function.The proposed DNN copula model is trained by using a negative copula likelihood as a loss function.The predictive performance of the proposed method is evaluated by comparing it with existing methods in terms of C-index and integrated Brier score using simulation study and a real data set.

Communications for Statistical Applications and MethodsVol. 32(3)
Hiroshima University (JP), The Institute of Statistical Mathematics (JP), Pukyong National University (KR)
Pukyong National University
Openalex Percentile: Top 88%
Statistical Methods and Inference
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