Evaluating Waste Heat Potential for Fifth Generation District Heating and Cooling (5GDHC): Analysis Across 26 Building Types and Recovery Strategies

Efficient cooling and heat recovery systems are becoming increasingly critical in large-scale commercial and industrial facilities, especially with the rising demand for sustainable energy solutions. Traditional air-conditioning and refrigeration systems often dissipate significant amounts of waste heat, which remains underutilized. This study addresses the challenge of harnessing low-potential waste heat from such systems to support fifth-generation district heating and cooling (5GDHC) networks, particularly in moderate-temperate regions like Flanders, Belgium. To evaluate the technical and economic feasibility of waste heat recovery, a methodology is developed that integrates established performance metrics—such as the energy efficiency ratio (EER), power usage effectiveness (PUE), and specific cooling demand (kW/t)—with capital (CapEx) and operational expenditure (OpEx) assessments. Empirical correlations, including regression analysis based on manufacturer data and operational case studies, are used to estimate equipment sizing and system performance across three operational modes. The study includes detailed modeling of data centers, cold storage facilities, and large supermarkets, taking into account climatic conditions, load factors, and thermal capacities. Results indicate that average cooling loads typically reach 58% of peak demand, with seasonal coefficient of performance (SCOP) values ranging from 6.1 to a maximum of 10.3. Waste heat recovery potential varies significantly across building types, with conversion rates from 33% to 68%, averaging at 59%. In data centers using water-to-water heat pumps, energy production reaches 10.1 GWh/year in heat pump mode and 8.6 GWh/year in heat exchanger mode. Despite variations in system complexity and building characteristics, OpEx and CapEx values converge closely (within 2.5%), demonstrating a well-balanced configuration. Simulations also confirm that large buildings operating above a 55% capacity factor provide the most favorable conditions for integrating waste heat into 5GDHC systems. In conclusion, the proposed approach enables the scalable and efficient integration of low-grade waste heat into district energy networks. While climatic and technical constraints exist, especially concerning temperature thresholds and equipment design, the results show strong potential for energy savings up to 40% in well-optimized systems. This highlights the viability of retrofitting large-scale cooling systems for dual-purpose operation, offering both environmental and economic benefits.