Research on a Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on a Three-Channel LSTM-CNN

Aiming at addressing the problem of insufficient fusion of multi-source heterogeneous features in short-term power load forecasting, this paper proposes a three-channel LSTM-CNN hybrid forecasting model. This method extracts the temporal characteristics of time, weather, and historical loads through independent LSTM channels and realizes cross-modal spatial correlation mining by using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The time channel takes hour, week, and holiday codes as input to capture the daily/weekly cycle patterns. The meteorological channel integrates real-time data such as temperature and humidity and models the nonlinear delay effect between them and the load. The historical load channel sequence of the past 24 h is analyzed to interpret the internal trend and fluctuation characteristics. The output of the three channels is concatenated and then input into a one-dimensional convolutional layer. Cross-modal cooperative features are extracted through local perception. Finally, the 24 h load prediction value is output through the fully connected layer. The experimental results show that the prediction model based on the three-channel LSTM-CNN has a better prediction effect compared with the existing models, and its average absolute percentage error on the two datasets is reduced to 1.367% and 0.974%, respectively. The research results provide an expandable framework for multi-source time series data modeling, supporting the precise dispatching of smart grids and optimal energy allocation.

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Publication Details

Journal
Electronics
Published
2025-05-31
DOI
https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14112262
Citations
2
Primary Topic
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
1.46

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article

Research on a Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on a Three-Channel LSTM-CNN

Huimin Peng, Lanyong Zhang, Zhao Xiaojing, Hongwei Ma
2 citations
Electronics
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
1.46
article

Research on a Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on a Three-Channel LSTM-CNN

Huimin Peng, Lanyong Zhang, Zhao Xiaojing, Hongwei Ma
article en
2 citations

Abstract

Aiming at addressing the problem of insufficient fusion of multi-source heterogeneous features in short-term power load forecasting, this paper proposes a three-channel LSTM-CNN hybrid forecasting model. This method extracts the temporal characteristics of time, weather, and historical loads through independent LSTM channels and realizes cross-modal spatial correlation mining by using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The time channel takes hour, week, and holiday codes as input to capture the daily/weekly cycle patterns. The meteorological channel integrates real-time data such as temperature and humidity and models the nonlinear delay effect between them and the load. The historical load channel sequence of the past 24 h is analyzed to interpret the internal trend and fluctuation characteristics. The output of the three channels is concatenated and then input into a one-dimensional convolutional layer. Cross-modal cooperative features are extracted through local perception. Finally, the 24 h load prediction value is output through the fully connected layer. The experimental results show that the prediction model based on the three-channel LSTM-CNN has a better prediction effect compared with the existing models, and its average absolute percentage error on the two datasets is reduced to 1.367% and 0.974%, respectively. The research results provide an expandable framework for multi-source time series data modeling, supporting the precise dispatching of smart grids and optimal energy allocation.

ElectronicsVol. 14(11)
Harbin Engineering University (CN), NARI Group (China) (CN)
National Natural Science Foundation of China
Affordable and clean energy
Openalex Percentile: Top 17%
Energy Load and Power Forecasting
1.46
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