Research on a Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Method Based on a Three-Channel LSTM-CNN
Aiming at addressing the problem of insufficient fusion of multi-source heterogeneous features in short-term power load forecasting, this paper proposes a three-channel LSTM-CNN hybrid forecasting model. This method extracts the temporal characteristics of time, weather, and historical loads through independent LSTM channels and realizes cross-modal spatial correlation mining by using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). The time channel takes hour, week, and holiday codes as input to capture the daily/weekly cycle patterns. The meteorological channel integrates real-time data such as temperature and humidity and models the nonlinear delay effect between them and the load. The historical load channel sequence of the past 24 h is analyzed to interpret the internal trend and fluctuation characteristics. The output of the three channels is concatenated and then input into a one-dimensional convolutional layer. Cross-modal cooperative features are extracted through local perception. Finally, the 24 h load prediction value is output through the fully connected layer. The experimental results show that the prediction model based on the three-channel LSTM-CNN has a better prediction effect compared with the existing models, and its average absolute percentage error on the two datasets is reduced to 1.367% and 0.974%, respectively. The research results provide an expandable framework for multi-source time series data modeling, supporting the precise dispatching of smart grids and optimal energy allocation.
Authors
- Huimin Peng
- Lanyong Zhang
- Zhao Xiaojing
- Hongwei Ma (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6159-3960)
Institutions
- Harbin Engineering University (CN)
- NARI Group (China) (CN)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Electronics
- Published
- 2025-05-31
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3390/electronics14112262
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Energy Load and Power Forecasting
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 1.46
Funders
- National Natural Science Foundation of China