Temporal and Spatial Analysis of Deformation and Instability, and Trend Analysis of Step Deformation Landslide

This study focuses on step deformation landslides, conducting spatiotemporal analysis of landslide deformation and instability trends. First, the target landslide area is selected, and geological and precipitation data, along with historical displacement data from monitoring points, are collected. The slope single-change-point analysis method is then employed, combined with landslide profile data, to extract key features from the monitoring data. Next, Small BAseline Subset-Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SBAS-InSAR) technology is applied to obtain satellite images of the study area. These images, together with the extracted data features, are used to draw the spatiotemporal baseline of the target landslide, completing the spatiotemporal analysis. Finally, a landslide prediction model is developed, and its prediction error is corrected using an Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) neural network. The refined prediction results serve as the basis for analyzing the landslide deformation coefficient, enabling the determination of the landslide instability trend. The experimental results show that step deformation landslides exhibit significant spatiotemporal variability and a short stability period throughout the year. The analytical methods designed in this study outperform traditional methods, providing more reliable results for predicting landslide instability trends.