Swelling Prediction for Fissured Expansive Soil Used in Dam Construction, Based on a BP Neural Network

Fissured expansive soils exhibit pronounced moisture-induced swelling, posing significant risks to the stability of geotechnical structures such as dam foundations and core zones. To improve predictive capacity in such environments, this study developed a back-propagation (BP) neural network model to estimate the swelling behavior of fissured expansive soils. The model incorporated four key geotechnical parameters—fissure ratio, dry density, initial moisture content, and overburden pressure—and was implemented in MATLAB using a three-layer feedforward architecture with four inputs, five hidden neurons, and a single output neuron to predict the swelling ratio (increase in specimen height due to water-induced expansion). The model was trained on 81 laboratory-tested samples, with all variables normalized to the range [−1, 1] to ensure numerical stability. Two training algorithms were evaluated: gradient descent with momentum (traingdm) and the Fletcher–Reeves conjugate gradient method (traincgf). The optimal network configuration achieved a mean squared error (MSE) below 0.01, indicating strong predictive accuracy for expansive soil swelling behavior. Comparative results showed that the conjugate gradient algorithm converged nearly 30 times faster than the gradient descent method, while maintaining similar prediction accuracy. Validation on an independent dataset confirmed high agreement with measured swelling ratios. The proposed BP model demonstrates robust generalization and computational efficiency, offering a practical decision-support tool for expansive soil deformation control in dam engineering. Its rapid and accurate predictions make it valuable for Smart City applications such as embankment stabilization, intelligent dam core design, and real-time geotechnical risk assessment.