Why do portfolio choice models predict inelastic demand?

Classical asset pricing models predict that optimizing investors exhibit extremely high demand elasticities, while empirical estimates are significantly lower—by three orders of magnitude. To reconcile this disparity, we introduce a novel decomposition of investor demand elasticity into two key components: “price pass-through”, which captures how price movements forecast returns, and “unspanned returns”, reflecting a stock’s lack of perfect substitutes. In a factor model framework, we show that unspanned returns become significant when models include “weak factors”. Classical models overestimate demand elasticity by assuming both very low unspanned returns and high price pass-throughs, assumptions that are inconsistent with empirical evidence.

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Publication Details

Journal
Journal of Financial Economics
Published
2025-06-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2025.104096
Citations
11
Primary Topic
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
Type
article
Field-Weighted Citation Impact
17.66
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article

Why do portfolio choice models predict inelastic demand?

Mahyar Kargar, Carter Davis, Jiacui Li
11 citations
Journal of Financial Economics
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
17.66
article

Why do portfolio choice models predict inelastic demand?

Mahyar Kargar, Carter Davis, Jiacui Li
article en
11 citations

Abstract

Classical asset pricing models predict that optimizing investors exhibit extremely high demand elasticities, while empirical estimates are significantly lower—by three orders of magnitude. To reconcile this disparity, we introduce a novel decomposition of investor demand elasticity into two key components: “price pass-through”, which captures how price movements forecast returns, and “unspanned returns”, reflecting a stock’s lack of perfect substitutes. In a factor model framework, we show that unspanned returns become significant when models include “weak factors”. Classical models overestimate demand elasticity by assuming both very low unspanned returns and high price pass-throughs, assumptions that are inconsistent with empirical evidence.

Journal of Financial EconomicsVol. 172
University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign (US), University of Utah (US), Fisher College (US), The Ohio State University (US)
Decent work and economic growth
Openalex Percentile: Top 1%
Financial Markets and Investment Strategies
17.66
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Why do portfolio choice models predict inelastic demand? — Mahyar Kargar, Carter Davis, et al. · Journal of Financial Economics (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS