Optimal antimicrobial dosing combinations when drug-resistance mutation rates differ

Given the ongoing antimicrobial resistance crisis, it is imperative to develop dosing regimens optimized to avoid the evolution of resistance. The rate at which bacteria acquire resistance-conferring mutations to different antimicrobial drugs spans multiple orders of magnitude. By using a mathematical model and computer simulations, we show that knowledge of relative mutation rates can meaningfully inform the optimal combination of two drugs in a treatment regimen. We demonstrate that under plausible assumptions there is a linear relationship in log-log space between the drug A:drug B dose ratio that maximizes the chance of treatment success and the ratio of their mutation rates. This power law relationship holds for bacteriostatic and bactericidal drugs. If borne out empirically, these findings suggest that there might be significant room to further optimize antimicrobial dosing strategies.

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Publication Details

Journal
Evolution
Published
2025-06-02
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1093/evolut/qpaf123
Primary Topic
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
Type
article
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article

Optimal antimicrobial dosing combinations when drug-resistance mutation rates differ

Oscar Delaney, Andrew D. Letten, Jan Engelstädter
Evolution
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
article

Optimal antimicrobial dosing combinations when drug-resistance mutation rates differ

Oscar Delaney, Andrew D. Letten, Jan Engelstädter
article en

Abstract

Given the ongoing antimicrobial resistance crisis, it is imperative to develop dosing regimens optimized to avoid the evolution of resistance. The rate at which bacteria acquire resistance-conferring mutations to different antimicrobial drugs spans multiple orders of magnitude. By using a mathematical model and computer simulations, we show that knowledge of relative mutation rates can meaningfully inform the optimal combination of two drugs in a treatment regimen. We demonstrate that under plausible assumptions there is a linear relationship in log-log space between the drug A:drug B dose ratio that maximizes the chance of treatment success and the ratio of their mutation rates. This power law relationship holds for bacteriostatic and bactericidal drugs. If borne out empirically, these findings suggest that there might be significant room to further optimize antimicrobial dosing strategies.

EvolutionVol. 79(9)
The University of Queensland (AU)
Good health and well-being
Openalex Percentile: Top 86%
Evolution and Genetic Dynamics
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Optimal antimicrobial dosing combinations when drug-resistance mutation rates differ — Oscar Delaney, Andrew D. Letten, et al. · Evolution (2025) | TGRS Research Map | TGRS