Predicting vector distribution in Europe: at what sample size are species distribution models reliable?
To our knowledge, this is the first study to use a simulated vector to identify the optimum sample size for Random Forest models at this resolution (≤1 km<sup>2</sup>) and extent (≥10,000 km<sup>2</sup>). These results may improve the reliability of model predictions, optimise field sampling, and enhance vector surveillance in response to changing climates. Further research may seek to refine these estimates and confirm transferability to real vectors.
Authors
- Ewan T. MacLeod (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5517-0619)
- Guy Hendrickx (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2536-4663)
- Cedric Marsboom (ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9333-1340)
- Lianne Mitchel
Institutions
- Université Libre de Bruxelles (BE)
- Environment Agency (GB)
- Avia-GIS (Belgium) (BE)
- University of Edinburgh (GB)
Publication Details
- Journal
- Frontiers in Veterinary Science
- Published
- 2025-05-29
- DOI
- https://doi.org/10.3389/fvets.2025.1584864
- Citations
- 2
- Primary Topic
- Species Distribution and Climate Change
- Type
- article
- Field-Weighted Citation Impact
- 3.68